Politico: Latino Decisions tracking poll: Obama up 39
The polling firm Latino Decisions and impreMedia unveiled a weekly tracking poll on the Latino vote this morning, with this as the first wave of data:
Just before the beginning of the Republican National Convention in Tampa presidential candidate Mitt Romney continues to overwhelmingly lose the Latino vote and has low levels of favorability among the majority of the Latino electorate. The first weekly tracking poll of Latino registered voters by Latino Decisions and impreMedia reveals that 65% would vote to re-elect President Barack Obama and 26% would prefer the Republican alternative offered by Romney. …
Some possible reasons for the stagnation of the Republican candidate are also reflected in the survey. One is the fact that Latino voters primarily blame former President George W. Bush for the state of the economy and not necessarily to President Obama. 68% blamed Bush for the economic downturn of recent years and only 14% blamed Obama.
Another possible clue is the personal popularity of President Obama among these voters, who maintains a high level of 74% favorability, compared to only 27% for Romney. …
The survey finds that 53% of Latino voters consider the economy and jobs as the most important issue, but the issue of immigration, which for Latinos is also a primary issue which is closely linked to family, was also selected by 51% as one of the most important issues. Immigration barely shows up among the general public as an issue this year.
Emily and I wrote earlier this month about the stability, to date, of Obama’s lead with Latino voters. Though it’s no surprise that Romney trails by a big margin, it’s problematic for Republicans if their nominee loses by a wider margin than John McCain did in 2008.
It’s worth noting that the dynamics of the race among Latino voters, who are highly concerned about the economy but resistant to voting for an alternative they dislike an distrust, pretty much mirror how Obama needs the election to play out across the board.