In 2012, Latino Voters will be a major force in deciding who will be the next President of the United States. Now, you can predict how this key demographic will vote, by interacting with the most recently available independent polling results through this brand new, interactive map from Latino Decisions and America’s Voice Education Fund.

Who Out-Latino’d Who? Assessing the RNC and DNC Conventions Latino Outreach

by Matt Barreto, Latino Decisions on 09/12/2012 Latino political leaders were on display at the 2012 political conventions like never before.  The Republican convention featured two Latino Governors and two Latino U.S. Senators (with the impending election of Ted Cruz in Texas).  The Democrats countered with a Latino chairman of their entire convention and a Latino keynote speaker [...]

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Tracking Poll Wave 3: No increase in Latino enthusiasm following conventions

by Latino Decisions on 09/10/2012 Despite two weeks of widespread political coverage in which both parties made an effort to reach out to Latino voters, enthusiasm about November is still very much in question.  Wave 3 of the impreMedia/Latino Decisions tracking poll did not find any noticeable increase in levels of enthusiasm or certainty to vote, and to [...]

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Tracking Poll Wave 2: Romney gains among Latinos post-convention

by Matt Barreto, Latino Decisions on 09/03/2012 After a week in the spotlight in which many prominent Latinos took to the stage at the RNC Convention, the impreMedia/Latino Decisions tracking poll finds a noticeable bump in support for Romney and Republicans among Latinos, as reported by Pilar Marrero.  The question will be can they sustain it, or will the [...]

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Mitt Romney’s Magic Number

by Gabriel Sanchez on 09/01/2012 Mitt Romney’s campaign has identified 38% as the “magic number” of Latino voters they need to secure victory over President Obama in the November election.  This seems rather ambitious; John McCain earned 31% of the Latino vote in 2008, and Romney stands at a mere 26% ten weeks before the election. In light of the Republican National [...]

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Introducing LD Turnout Predict

By Justin H. Gross on This is the first of two posts introducing new models that Latino Decisions will use in predicting Latino voter turnout along with the choice of candidate by those voters who do turn out to vote. We begin with our plan for estimating Latino voter turnout based on the results of [...]

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